Playoff Probabilities Update (11/10/2013)

Salt Lake wins the first leg 4-2, putting Portland in a very deep hole for the return leg. RSL now has an estimated 83.8% chance to win the series, and a 40.3% chance to win the cup. Portland's chances to win the cup sink to 7.3%. RSL also takes the lead in the Elo ratings, gaining 23 points with tonight's result.

MLS Cup Final Matchup Probabilities (Home v Away):

58.3% - Sporting Kansas City v Real Salt Lake
25.5% - Real Salt Lake v Houston Dynamo
11.3% - Sporting Kansas City v Portland Timbers
04.9% - Portland Timbers v Houston Dynamo

Elo Ratings		#	Team	F%	C%
Rtng Team (Change in Last Month)		E2	Sporting Kansas City	69.6%	43.3%
1616   Real Salt Lake  (+38)		W2	Real Salt Lake	83.8%	40.3%
1609   Sporting Kansas City  (+19)		E4	Houston Dynamo	30.4%	9.1%
1592   Portland Timbers  (+38)		W1	Portland Timbers	16.2%	7.3%
1588   New York Red Bulls  (+14)
1580   Los Angeles Galaxy  (-6)
1567   San Jose Earthquakes  (+13)
1555   Houston Dynamo  (+31)
1547   Vancouver Whitecaps FC  (+13)
1539   New England Revolution  (+48)
1522   Colorado Rapids  (-37)
1515   Chicago Fire  (+7)
1504   Seattle Sounders FC  (-44)
1473   Columbus Crew  (-29)
1458   Philadelphia Union  (-30)
1456   FC Dallas  (-3)
1433   Montreal Impact  (-52)
1362   Toronto FC  (+12)
1292   Chivas USA  (-22)
1292   DC United  (-10)
West Average: 1519.55
East Average: 1482.4