Monday, April 25, 2016

April 24, 2016

Los Angeles rises to the top with a convincing win over Salt Lake while Dallas falls to third after a big road loss to Vancouver. Toronto has the biggest gain of the week with 32 after an unexpected (at least in terms of Elo ratings) road win over Montreal.

Los Angeles now leads in terms of pure Elo rating, points prediction, and Monte Carlo estimation. Hard to dispute after their 5-2 thrashing on Saturday.

Monday, April 18, 2016

April 17, 2016

Two wins a piece give Dallas and Colorado the weekly honors, both moving up 36 points. Dallas finally overtakes a struggling Portland team for the highest Elo rating in the league. Colorado, however, still have a lot of room to make up before they are among the elite - their move puts them in 15th overall. Our biggest losers of the week are Kansas City, whose two losses - to Dallas and Colorado, wouldn't ya know - have them plummeting 31 points.

All predictions are coming up Dallas at this point in the season. In addition, the West Conference continues to distance itself from the East. This week saw the Red Bulls lose to both San Jose and Colorado, and Philadelphia lose to Seattle, creating the largest disparity between the two conferences so far this year.

Wednesday, April 13, 2016

April 10, 2016

Biggest positive movers this week are Kansas City and DC United, both grabbing 28 points to the good. Kansas City managed a 2-0 road result against the New York Red Bulls, while DC United managed a 4-0 home win against Vancouver. End of Season predictions change quite a bit this week: FC Dallas falls from 1st to 4th with a draw to San Jose, and Montreal is our new leader after a 2-0 home win over Columbus. Also of note: 2nd, 3rd, and 4th place are within 0.3 predicted points of each other, so there isn't much separating the leaders right now.

The Monte Carlo method is also putting Montreal on top, with Kansas City trailing closely.

Wednesday, April 6, 2016

April 3, 2016

Since last week was a short, 3-game week, I decided to combine it with the following, 9-game week. Why MLS insists on continuing to play micro schedules during international weeks and non-capacity schedules on non-international dates is beyond me.

Anywho, Orlando City are the biggest movers over the bi-week, giving Portland the biggest loss. Predictions for Supporters Shield have moved as a result, and are now pointing towards Dallas. Here are some numbers: