Monday, June 12, 2017

June 10th, 2017

This combines last weekend's games with the three played on Saturday. Last week, New England got two good results to boost them up the standings by 36 points. Portland also saw an increase of 35 points. Despite falling 30 points, Toronto still have a fairly sizable lead on the rest of the pack.

After nearly a decade of being the de facto king of conferences, the West has very clearly been surpassed by the East this year. The Eastern Conference average of 1510 is the highest it has been since September 13, 2008.



Friday, May 26, 2017

May 21st, 2017

Philadelphia are up a staggering 105 points from where they were a month ago. Other big movers include New York City (+58), Toronto (+57), Chicago (+52), Orlando (-57), New York Red Bulls (-61), and Seattle (-61).

Toronto is currently crushing all season leading metrics, and have a predicted 6.2 point cushion over the runner up for Supporters Shield.





Friday, May 5, 2017

April 30th, 2017

DC United's win at Atlanta this past weekend was by far the biggest rating mover. Atlanta's 32 point fall dropped them from 4th to 8th, while DC moved from 17th to 11th. Dallas stays undefeated and retains the lead, but drops rating points for drawing at home.

Monte Carlo estimates this week show a two week change since I forgot to run them last week.


April 23rd, 2017

Playing catch up. Forgot to run the Monte Carlo for this week, so I've just got the Elo Ratings.


Monday, April 17, 2017

April 15th, 2017

Last week's top five teams were Dallas, Toronto, Seattle, Portland, and Atlanta. This week, all five of those teams dropped points. Kansas City cracked the top five - jumping from 6th to 2nd - after picking up 20 rating points from Portland on the road. Other big results this week include Chicago over New England (23 points), New York City over Philadelphia (22 points), and Salt Lake over Colorado (20 points).

Toronto's loss to Columbus means Dallas and Kansas City are the last two unbeaten teams in the league. Fittingly, Dallas hosts Kansas City this weekend. On the other end of the table, Philadelphia are now at an all-league all-season low of 1396 and haven't had a positive result since opening weekend (a draw on the road to Vancouver). At this point, they are predicted to finish the season on a dismal 27.97 points.

































In Monte Carlo simulations, Kansas City's Supporters Shield chances dramatically increase, going from 5% to 18.4% in the span of a week. Dallas remains largely unchanged at around a 40% chance for the title.