1634 Sporting Kansas City (---) |
1631 Seattle Sounders FC (+16) |
1624 Los Angeles Galaxy (-10) |
1597 Houston Dynamo (-16) |
1574 San Jose Earthquakes (+16) |
1561 Real Salt Lake (+5) |
1542 New York Red Bulls (+5) |
1522 Chicago Fire (-16) |
1505 Colorado Rapids (+17) |
1502 DC United (+16) |
1478 FC Dallas (+9) |
1457 Montreal Impact (+16) |
1456 Philadelphia Union (-16) |
1445 Vancouver Whitecaps FC (+21) |
1442 Columbus Crew (-21) |
1436 Portland Timbers (-16) |
1408 Chivas USA (-17) |
1369 New England Revolution (-5) |
1317 Toronto FC (-4) |
West Average: 1518 |
East Average: 1483.8 |
Team | Pts | Pred |
Sporting Kansas City | 21 | 71.455 |
Seattle Sounders FC | 13 | 65.163 |
San Jose Earthquakes | 19 | 61.185 |
Houston Dynamo | 8 | 60.507 |
Los Angeles Galaxy | 10 | 58.565 |
Real Salt Lake | 19 | 56.735 |
New York Red Bulls | 13 | 52.905 |
DC United | 15 | 51.241 |
Chicago Fire | 8 | 49.735 |
Colorado Rapids | 12 | 47.287 |
FC Dallas | 12 | 42.365 |
Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 14 | 41.741 |
Philadelphia Union | 7 | 39.508 |
Montreal Impact | 8 | 38.488 |
Columbus Crew | 7 | 37.959 |
Portland Timbers | 7 | 34.150 |
Chivas USA | 9 | 32.825 |
New England Revolution | 6 | 31.148 |
Toronto FC | 0 | 18.866 |
Suggested add for your blogroll: Jeff Sagarin's ELO-derived ratings:
ReplyDeletehttp://www.usatoday.com/sports/sagarin/mls12.htm
Has Sagarin ever revealed (or has someone else figured out) how he gets his rating numbers that (supposedly) convert to expected goal margins from the Elo process?
DeleteAre these points predictions now based on P(W)=E[X]-0.5*P(D)? Are you still using P(D)=1/3-|E[X]-0.5|^1.585?
ReplyDeleteYes to both.
Delete