Monday, April 21, 2014

April 19, 2014

An abundance of draws means there wasn't a lot of movement in the standings this past week. In fact, the greatest ratings change any one team saw was Philadelphia (-11), and that is only due to an aggregation of two negative results. The biggest changes from a single game were DC United grabbing 10 points from Columbus and Seattle grabbing 10 points from Chivas. Kansas City's 4-0 blowout over Montreal was worth only 9 points due to the initial disparity of their ratings.

As a result, the end of season points predictions didn't move much. Philadelphia dropped nearly 2.5 points, but most teams were in the 0-2 range.

Despite the low movement on the Elo ratings, there were some significant movements on the Monte Carlo playoff scenarios. New York and Seattle saw favorable changes of about 15 and 10 percentage points respectively, while Philadelphia tanked a little over 11 points. Overall positions weren't affected much, and in the Supporters Shield race the rich get richer while the poor get poorer.

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